Yahoo NBA DFS- Who to play, who to avoid for Oct. 23
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After a star-studded Opening Night on Tuesday, we have our first big NBA slate of the season Wednesday with 10 games on tap. Our options are therefore ample across the board, and several players are poised to benefit from the absence of prominent teammates to open the new campaign.
As customary, we’ll highlight multiple advantageous positional matchups to exploit at each position for your Yahoo Fantasy lineups and a trio of candidates that may be best to steer clear of due to a combination of circumstances/salary.
Guards
Tyrese Maxey, PHI vs. MIL ($43): Maxey enjoyed a standout 2023-24 campaign, averaging 42.6 Yahoo points per game throughout the regular season and postseason. The talented fifth-year guard had big performances against the Bucks, scoring 46.1 and 53.8 Yahoo points. The 76ers will be opening the season without Joel Embiid (knee). Maxey posted a 31.6% usage rate per 36 minutes with his teammate off the floor last season. Milwaukee also allowed the fifth-highest offensive efficiency rating to point guards (29.3) last season and postseason, adding to Maxey’s appeal.
Scoot Henderson, POR vs. GSW ($24): There are a few appealing mid-salary options at guard on such a large slate, and Henderson stands out as a player capable of outpacing the investment required to roster him. The second-year guard could be ready to take a sizable leap after finishing his rookie campaign strong, averaging 18.9 points (on 39.5% 3-point shooting), 7.9 assists, 3.6 rebounds and 1.4 steals across his last 14 games. The Blazers are back to full strength to open the new season and added Deni Avdija, meaning there should be less defensive attention afforded to Henderson by a Warriors squad that surrendered 38.3% 3-point shooting to point guards last season.
ALSO CONSIDER: James Harden, LAC vs. PHO ($38)
Guard to Avoid
LaMelo Ball, CHA at HOU ($44): Ball is healthy to start the new season after missing 60 games last year due to an ankle injury. The upside is always there with the 2020 third-overall pick, but the matchup against the Rockets isn’t the best platform for him to deliver the kind of return you’d want at his salary. Ime Udoka had Houston playing better defense during his first season as coach, and the level of play on that side of the ball could be even higher now that the team is fully comfortable with his scheme. Houston surrendered just 44.7% shooting to point guards last season, and Ball scored 27.7 Yahoo points in his one full game against the Rockets before sustaining his season-ending injury in his second meeting with Houston.
Forwards
Scottie Barnes, TOR vs. CLE ($43): Barnes, like Maxey, is poised to benefit from added responsibility to start the season due to the absence of a noteworthy teammate. In Barnes’ case, RJ Barrett has been ruled out for Wednesday’s opener due to his ongoing recovery from a shoulder sprain. Barnes sported a 25.5% usage rate and averaged 46.7 Yahoo points per 36 minutes with Barrett off the floor last season, and the former also posted tallies of 40.7 and 56 Yahoo points in two of his three games against the Cavaliers.
Nikola Jović, MIA vs. ORL ($14): Jović has been a popular third-year breakout candidate after some noteworthy performances down the stretch of last season and in the playoffs. He’s also now in possession of the starting power forward job, meaning the minutes should be there for him to provide some robust fantasy performances. The 2022 first-round pick had a pair of 30+ Yahoo-point tallies in the first-round series loss to the Celtics and can stretch the floor very effectively with his standout perimeter shooting, making him a potential bargain at his salary despite a tough on-paper matchup against the Magic.
ALSO CONSIDER: Miles Bridges, CHA at HOU ($36)
Forward to Avoid
Kevin Durant, PHO at LAC ($49): Durant is our second superstar name in as many Avoid designations thus far, but as is the case with Ball, this is more about likely production relative to salary than expecting KD to turn in a dud. The $49 investment is a hefty one considering the Suns are rolling out a full-strength first unit and Durant averaged less than that figure in Yahoo points per game (45.6) last season. Durant also put up less than 40 Yahoo points per 36 minutes when Devin Booker, Bradley Beal and Jusuf Nurkic were on the floor last season, making the future Hall of Famer’s salary better spent elsewhere Wednesday.
Centers
Alperen Sengun, HOU vs. CHA ($42): Sengun is fresh off signing a $185 million extension Monday that he earned with a 2023-24 campaign when he fully came into his own with averages of 21.1 points, 9.3 rebounds, 5.0 assists and 1.2 steals per contest. Sengun is fully healthy after missing the last 18 games of last season due to an ankle sprain, and he’s facing a Hornets team that once again figures to be one of the most generous in terms of allowing frontcourt production. Charlotte finished last season surrendering the third-highest offensive efficiency rating to frontcourt players (89.8) and fourth-highest to centers specifically (35.8), making Sengun a very strong candidate if you’re paying up at center.
Ivica Zubac, LAC vs. PHO ($22): Zubac is yet another player whose usage should be elevated due to the short-handed nature of his first unit. In the big man’s case, two superstars are absent when factoring in Paul George’s departure to the 76ers this offseason. Kawhi Leonard (knee) is also out indefinitely, and last season, Zubac averaged a whopping 43 Yahoo points per 36 minutes when his two teammates were off the floor. Adding the departed Russell Westbrook into the equation, that figure went up to 47.6. Zubac also scored 39.1 and 38.6 Yahoo points in two of his three games against Phoenix last season, corroborating this as a matchup he knows how to navigate successfully.
ALSO CONSIDER: Andre Drummond, PHI vs. MIL ($25)
Center to Avoid
Brook Lopez, MIL at PHI ($25): Lopez’s salary may be a bit elevated relative to what he’s likely to provide Wednesday, even though he will avoid a matchup against Embiid. The veteran big man’s offensive involvement took a bit of a dive last season, as he averaged just 9.6 shot attempts per game. Khris Middleton will be out for Milwaukee due to an ankle injury, but Lopez posted just a 16% usage rate with his teammate off the floor last season. With Andre Drummond down low for Philadelphia likely pulling down plenty of available rebounds, I like the idea of leaving Lopez out of the equation and instead pivoting to Zubac at $3 less if you’re paying down.
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